Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin's price will be higher than its early-January-2021 level roughly 8 months forward (by ~September 2021).
A scored record for Lyn Alden, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I also continue to be bullish on Bitcoin from current levels with an 8-month forward view, despite being up more than 5x from my initial entry price in April 2020”
Bitcoin's price will be higher than its early-January-2021 level roughly 8 months forward (by ~September 2021).
- Made on
- 2021-01-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-09-09
Bitcoin's price on/around 2021-09-09 is higher than its ~2021-01-09 level (~$40,000).
Criterion: BTC on/around 2021-09-09 is higher than its ~2021-01-09 level (~$40,000). BTC closed ~$46,391 on 2021-09-09 vs ~$40,000 in early Jan 2021 — higher by roughly +16%. Condition met. Caveat: BTC was volatile between the two dates (dipped well below $40k in mid-2021), but the criterion is a point-to-point comparison at the ~8-month mark, which is satisfied. Prices from secondary aggregators (StatMuse, Yahoo Finance); direction not in dispute. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
January 2021 Newsletter
lynalden.com ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin closed ~$46,391 on 2021-09-09, higher than its ~2021-01-09 level of roughly $40,000 (~$40,600 close on Jan 9, 2021).
Bitcoin historical daily data (Yahoo Finance) covering early Jan 2021 through Sep 2021 confirms the ~January-2021 ~$40k level and the higher ~$46k level in early September 2021.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's price will be higher than its early-January-2021…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 6, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources