Prediction record
HitmarketsCrypto and stocks will rise on net through the end of 2024 as fiat money supply expands
A scored record for Arthur Hayes, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“which will underpin the general rise of crypto and stonks until the end of the year.”
Crypto and stocks will rise on net through the end of 2024 as fiat money supply expands
- Made on
- 2024-04-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-12-31
Crypto (BTC) and US equities (S&P 500) are net higher at end-2024 than on 2024-04-08.
Both legs of the criterion satisfied: BTC and the S&P 500 each closed 2024 higher than their 2024-04-08 levels (BTC ~+28%, S&P ~+13%). Directly supports the prediction. No outcome value assigned per stage separation.
Sources
Heatwave
Substack ·
Outcome evidence
Corrections
- tags: Stated subject is explicitly 'crypto and stonks' — an equity/index leg (markets) and a crypto leg (crypto). Add 'crypto' so the record feeds the per-tag crypto score.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Crypto and stocks will rise on net through the end of 2024…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-04-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources