Prediction record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin reaches $110,000 before it retests $76,500.

A scored record for Arthur Hayes, made on .

TweetDirect quote, reputable outletcryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k.

Bitcoin reaches $110,000 before it retests $76,500.

Made on
2025-03-23
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+0.31

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2025-04-07

Hit iff Bitcoin's spot price touches $110,000 strictly before it next touches $76,500, counting from 2025-03-23.

Sources

  • Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin To Hit $110K Before Retesting $76.5K

    Yahoo Finance / Benzinga ·

    Source

  • We check the accuracy of 20 Arthur Hayes market calls

    Protos ·

    Source

  • Bitcoin to $250K? Arthur Hayes Makes Bold BTC Price Prediction

    U.Today ·

    Source

Corrections

  • Quote sourcing: sources[] hold only secondary outlets (Yahoo/Benzinga, Protos, U.Today) carrying the direct quote; no primary X URL was fetched, so fetched_primary is unsupported.
  • Quote wording: Verbatim must be the pundit's own words; the record expanded '$BTC'->'BTC', '$110k'->'$110,000', '$76.5k'->'$76,500'. Restore the tweet's wording as carried by the outlets.
  • Resolution: Wager objectively settled by Apr/May 2025: BTC retested $76,500 before reaching $110,000 → resolves FALSE per Protos and price history; should not remain pending.
  • resolution resolved on: Date BTC retested $76,500 (~$74.5k), settling the sequencing wager as a miss before $110,000 was reached.

Score contribution

+0.31
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+0.31

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin reaches $110,000 before it retests $76,500.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 5, 2026
Made on
2025-03-23

How this profile was built

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Evidence firstMethodology