Prediction record

Misscrypto

XRP will form a golden cross (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA) by late December 2019.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

we're gonna have our next golden cross... in about a month and a half

XRP will form a golden cross (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA) by late December 2019.

Made on
2019-11-08
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.89

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2019-12-23

XRP's 50-day moving average crosses above its 200-day moving average (a golden cross) on or before 2019-12-23.

Criterion (50MA crosses above 200MA on/before 2019-12-23) was NOT met — the 50MA stayed below the 200MA for the whole window. MAs computed from single-exchange (Binance) daily closes; the death-cross-then-persistent-below state is unambiguous and corroborated by the documented downtrend, so exchange choice does not change the outcome. resolved_on set to the deadline (window elapsed without occurrence).

Sources

  • XRP: A Historical Perspective on Price

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Computed from Binance XRPUSDT daily closes: XRP's 50-day SMA remained well below its 200-day SMA throughout the entire prediction window. On the deadline (2019-12-23), 50MA ≈ $0.236 vs 200MA ≈ $0.294, and the gap was widening, not closing. A death cross (50MA crossing below 200MA) had occurred on 2019-08-14 and no golden cross followed on or before 2019-12-23. No golden cross occurred.

    Evidence

  • Independent corroboration: XRP was in a confirmed 2018–2020 bear-market downtrend, with analysts noting a 50/200 death cross around Oct 2019 after which XRP kept falling to ~$0.11 in March 2020. XRP averaged ~$0.27 (Nov 2019) and ~$0.20 (Dec 2019), a sustained decline that precludes a golden cross.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: XRP TA call → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

-0.89
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.89

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

XRP will form a golden cross (50-day MA crossing above the…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2019-11-08

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