Prediction record

Hitmarkets

Bitcoin will not peak at six figures (≥$100,000) at any point during 2021.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Hitmarkets

I don't think Bitcoin is gonna be peaking at any point during 2021

Bitcoin will not peak at six figures (≥$100,000) at any point during 2021.

Made on
2019-12-18
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-12-31

Bitcoin's price does not reach or exceed $100,000 at any point during calendar year 2021.

Criterion met: 2021 peak was ~$69k, well below $100,000.

Sources

  • Bitcoin risk analysis using machine learning

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's highest price at any point during 2021 was its 2021-11-10 all-time high of ~$68,789-$69,225. It never reached or exceeded $100,000 during calendar year 2021.

    Evidence

  • Bloomberg notes the November 2021 high (~$69k) was Bitcoin's record until March 2024, confirming no higher print (and thus no six-figure print) occurred in 2021.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will not peak at six figures (≥$100,000) at any poi…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2019-12-18

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodology