Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2020.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

saying we're gonna hit 1 million by 2020 or something it's just absolutely not gonna happen

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2020.

Made on
2019-12-31
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+2

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-12-31

BTC spot price does not reach >= $1,000,000 at any point through 2020-12-31.

Criterion: BTC does not reach >= $1,000,000 at any point through 2020-12-31. The 2020 peak was ~$29k, far below $1M; criterion satisfied. Prediction holds. resolved_on at deadline 2020-12-31 since resolution is the non-occurrence of the threshold over the window.

Sources

  • When can Bitcoin realistically reach $1 Million?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's 2020 high was ~$20,000–$29,000 (first crossed $20k on Dec 16, 2020 at ~$21,310), roughly two orders of magnitude below $1,000,000 — BTC never approached $1M in 2020.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price bet → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

+2
Confidence
97%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+2

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2020.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2019-12-31

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Evidence firstMethodology