Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2025.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

even even saying we're gonna hit it by say 2025 is almost assuredly not going to happen

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2025.

Made on
2019-12-31
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.96

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2025-12-31

BTC spot price does not reach >= $1,000,000 at any point through 2025-12-31.

Criterion: BTC does not reach >= $1,000,000 at any point through 2025-12-31. Deadline has passed (today 2026-07-07). 2025 peak was ~$126k, far below $1M; criterion satisfied. Prediction holds. resolved_on at deadline 2025-12-31.

Sources

  • When can Bitcoin realistically reach $1 Million?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's all-time high through 2025 was ~$126,210 on Oct 6, 2025 (intraday reports ~$124,688–$126,210), after intermediate records of $111,814 (May), $122,838 (Jul) and $124,128 (Aug 2025) — roughly 8x below $1,000,000.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price bet → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

+1.96
Confidence
90%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.96

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2025.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2019-12-31

How this profile was built

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  3. Independently verified against sources

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Evidence firstMethodology