Prediction record

Misscrypto

XRP will not experience a major price rally over the next few months.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

I don't anticipate XRP going on one of these huge runs in the next few months I just don't see it happening

XRP will not experience a major price rally over the next few months.

Made on
2019-12-19
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.56

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-02-15

XRP does not stage a major rally (e.g., no ≥50% surge) in the ~3 months after 2019-12-19.

Criterion: no ≥50% surge in the ~3 months after 19 Dec 2019 (window to 2020-03-19). A ~75-82% surge (≈$0.19 → $0.346) occurred by mid-February 2020 — a major rally DID happen inside the window, contradicting the 'no major rally' prediction. Evidence is consistent across sources; only the outcome value is for the later stage.

Sources

  • XRP: Time needed to see various levels of return on your investment

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • XRP's baseline near 19 Dec 2019 was ~$0.19 (December 2019 low $0.1856, month close $0.1932). XRP then rallied to a mid-February 2020 high of ~$0.346 — an increase of roughly +75-82% within the ~3-month window, well above the ≥50% 'major rally' threshold — before the March 2020 COVID crash took it back to ~$0.11-0.13.

    Evidence

  • Corroborating: XRP opened 2020 at ~$0.19 and rose ~25%+ to ~$0.33 by mid-February 2020; February high cited as ~$0.346. December 2019 monthly low ~$0.186.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Tag dictionary: cryptocurrency price call → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

-0.56
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.56

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

XRP will not experience a major price rally over the next f…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2019-12-19

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Evidence firstMethodology