Prediction record
HiteconomyThe global economy will enter a recession within about 12 months of March 2020.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“Bitcoin has never lived through a a global recession it's never happened and we are you know almost certainly heading into a recession”
The global economy will enter a recession within about 12 months of March 2020.
- Made on
- 2020-03-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 5 / 5
- Contribution
- +4.9
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-06-08
A widely recognized global recession occurs within ~12 months of 2020-03-17.
Criterion (a widely recognized global recession within ~12 months of 2020-03-17) is clearly satisfied — both the IMF and the World Bank recognized a historic global recession in 2020, well inside the window. resolved_on set to the World Bank confirmation (2020-06-08); IMF recognition came even earlier (2020-04-14). No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: Below the 200 week MA
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
IMF (World Economic Outlook, 14 April 2020, 'The Great Lockdown') projected global growth of -3% for 2020 and declared it 'very likely' the worst global recession since the Great Depression — a widely recognized global recession within weeks of the March 2020 claim.
World Bank (8 June 2020, Global Economic Prospects) confirmed the global economy would contract ~5.2% in 2020, the deepest global recession since World War II — official confirmation of a widely recognized global recession within ~12 months of 2020-03-17.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+4.9- Confidence
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 5 / 5
- Contribution
- +4.9
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The global economy will enter a recession within about 12 m…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-03-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources