Prediction record
75% outcomecryptoBitcoin reaches approximately $100,000 (six figures) around 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
75% outcomecrypto“So eventually we would expect this to to break out into another um speculative bubble phase, probably peaking somewhere around six figures, sometime in 2023, plus or minus six months or so”
Bitcoin reaches approximately $100,000 (six figures) around 2023
- Made on
- 2020-04-06
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.98
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-06-30
BTC trades at or above ~$100,000 at any point on or before 2024-06-30
Criterion (BTC ≥ ~$100k at any point on/before 2024-06-30) NOT met: H1-2024 peak was $73,581 (2024-03-14). $100k was first touched 2024-12-05, outside this record's window. Resolves at deadline. No outcome value assigned per stage separation.
Sources
Bitcoin Risk and Price Analysis
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC's highest price at any point on or before 2024-06-30 was $73,581, set on 2024-03-14 (a pre-halving ATH). It did not trade at or above ~$100,000 anywhere in the window that closes at the criterion deadline.
BTC first surpassed $100,000 only on 2024-12-05 (~02:33 UTC), i.e. AFTER this record's 2024-06-30 deadline, confirming the ~$100k level was not reached within the criterion window.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto-vs-markets tag rule: a Bitcoin price call takes 'crypto' as primary with 'markets' secondary. Record omitted crypto and mis-ordered primary.
Score contribution
+2.98- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.98
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches approximately $100,000 (six figures) around…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-04-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources