Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will reach $20,000 by the end of 2021 or early 2022

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

slow run up to twenty twenty thousand dollars that I think would likely happen by the end of 2021 early 2022

Bitcoin will reach $20,000 by the end of 2021 or early 2022

Made on
2020-05-10
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-12-16

Bitcoin's price reaches $20,000 by the end of Q1 2022.

Criterion (reach $20,000 by end of Q1 2022) is unambiguously satisfied — BTC first hit $20k on 2020-12-16 and remained far above it through the entire deadline window. resolved_on set to first attainment of $20k. Outcome value deferred to scoring.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Hold the line!

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin closed 2021 at $46,306.45 on 2021-12-31 — well above the $20,000 criterion. BTC had first crossed $20,000 on 2020-12-16 and traded above that level continuously through end-2021 and into Q1 2022 (BTC was in the $38k–$47k range in January–March 2022).

    Evidence

  • Bloomberg (2021-12-31) confirms Bitcoin ended 2021 near the mid-$40k range ('a December whimper' relative to its Nov 2021 ~$69k ATH), i.e. multiples above the $20k threshold at the deadline.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price target: 'crypto' primary AND 'markets' secondary — a pure crypto price bet carries both so the market-timing track stays continuous (prompts.mjs:242).

Score contribution

+2.76
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will reach $20,000 by the end of 2021 or early 2022
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-05-10

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

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Evidence firstMethodology