Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin reaches a $100,000 speculative-bubble top by 2023, at the latest by end of 2024
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“100k is not in 20 20 or 20 21 like a lot of a lot of people will tell you likely not even 20 22 and if it is in 2022 it probably at the very end of 20 22 at the earliest I think likely 2023 it could even be as far out as 2024”
Bitcoin reaches a $100,000 speculative-bubble top by 2023, at the latest by end of 2024
- Made on
- 2020-05-27
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-12-05
BTC trades at or above $100,000 at some point by 2024-12-31.
Criterion uses the 'at some point by 2024-12-31' outer deadline. $100k was first reached 2024-12-05, i.e., within the window but NOT by the original 'by 2023 / top by 2023' framing — the written criterion here anchors on 2024-12-31, which is met. Timing nuance (2024, not 2023) is an outcome/scoring consideration for a later stage, not a resolution-status question.
Sources
Bitcoin holds the 50 week MA (for now)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin first traded at or above $100,000 on 2024-12-05, reaching an all-time high near $103,332-$103,900 that day. Criterion (BTC ≥ $100,000 at some point by 2024-12-31) satisfied within the outer deadline.
NPR and CNN independently confirm Bitcoin crossed $100,000 for the first time on/around 2024-12-04/05.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches a $100,000 speculative-bubble top by 2023,…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-05-27
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources