Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin reaches (and sustainably holds) $20,000 by the end of 2021
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“we don't expect a twenty thousand dollar Bitcoin until another twelve to eighteen months”
Bitcoin reaches (and sustainably holds) $20,000 by the end of 2021
- Made on
- 2020-05-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-11-10
BTC trades at or above $20,000 at some point by 2021-12-31 (a sustained move, not merely an intraday spike).
Clear YES-direction evidence. BTC entered the window already above $20k (crossed 2020-12-16) and never returned below $20k during 2021, so the 'sustained, not intraday spike' qualifier is comfortably met. resolved_on set to the in-window all-time-high date; criterion was in fact satisfied throughout 2021.
Sources
Bitcoin: Will the 50 week MA ($8800) hold?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin first crossed $20,000 on 2020-12-16 and remained sustainably above $20,000 for the entirety of 2021 (2021 intra-year low ~$28,000-$30,000 in July 2021), peaking at an all-time high of ~$68,789-$68,982 on 2021-11-10. The move was sustained across the whole window, not an intraday spike — criterion (BTC ≥ $20,000 at some point by 2021-12-31, sustained) satisfied.
CCN and CoinMarketCap historical data confirm the November 2021 peak (~$69,000) and continuous 2021 trading well above $20,000.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches (and sustainably holds) $20,000 by the end…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-05-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources