Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin will return to a sustainable ~$20,000 (its prior-cycle peak) in roughly 18 months, i.e. by late 2021 / early 2022.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“i think that to get to a sustainable 20k it's gonna take again another 18 months”
Bitcoin will return to a sustainable ~$20,000 (its prior-cycle peak) in roughly 18 months, i.e. by late 2021 / early 2022.
- Made on
- 2020-06-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin reaches ~$20,000 on a sustained basis by end of 2021 / early 2022.
Criterion (BTC at ~$20,000 on a sustained basis by end 2021 / early 2022) is met and exceeded: BTC not only reached $20k but held far above it for all of late 2021. If anything the prediction understated the move; 'sustainable ~$20k' is satisfied. Deadline 2021-12-31 used as resolved_on since the sustained condition was clearly true by then.
Sources
Bitcoin: A roller coaster of emotions
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC broke above $20,000 for the first time ever on Dec 16, 2020 — roughly a year ahead of the late-2021 target.
BTC reached an all-time high near $69,000 (~$68,990–$69,225 on Coinbase) on Nov 10, 2021, and traded well above $20,000 throughout Q4 2021 into end of year — i.e. sustained above the ~$20k level by end of 2021.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price-target claim; 'crypto' is the most-central controlled tag.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will return to a sustainable ~$20,000 (its prior-cy…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-06-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources