Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin's 20-week and 50-week moving averages will cross by approximately late September 2020
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“we're likely going to see the cross of these two moving averages sometime in the next few months”
Bitcoin's 20-week and 50-week moving averages will cross by approximately late September 2020
- Made on
- 2020-06-28
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-08-02
Bitcoin's 20-week and 50-week moving averages cross on or before 2020-09-30.
Criterion: 20W and 50W MAs cross on or before 2020-09-30. At prediction time the 20W was below the 50W (both falling); the natural read is an upward (bullish) cross, which occurred ~week ending 2020-08-02 - comfortably before the 2020-09-30 deadline. Cross timing is stable to ~1 week under minor weekly-close-convention differences and remains well inside the deadline. Even under a direction-agnostic reading, a cross occurred before the deadline. (Outcome value/scoring left to a later stage.)
Sources
Bitcoin: Will the sideways movement end?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Computed 20-week vs 50-week SMA from Coinbase BTC-USD daily closes (weekly-close resample). At the claim date 2020-06-28 the 20W SMA (~$8,248) sat BELOW the 50W SMA (~$8,669). The 20W-minus-50W gap went from -$264 in the week ending 2020-07-26 to +$7 in the week ending 2020-08-02, i.e. the 20W SMA crossed ABOVE the 50W SMA during late July / first days of August 2020, and stayed above thereafter.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's 20-week and 50-week moving averages will cross by…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-06-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources