Prediction record

Misscrypto

Over the next three years, Chainlink (LINK) will be a net winner against Bitcoin — LINK/BTC will not continue to lose value

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Misscrypto

I think link will be you know a winner rather than one that's gonna continue to Lutz a lose value against the coin

Over the next three years, Chainlink (LINK) will be a net winner against Bitcoin — LINK/BTC will not continue to lose value

Made on
2020-06-23
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+0.31

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-06-20

At the 2023-06-20 horizon, the LINK/BTC ratio is net higher than at the claim date (LINK a net winner vs BTC over the window, not a net loser).

Criterion: LINK/BTC net higher at 2023-06-20 than at claim date. Actual: ratio fell from ~0.0004461 to ~0.0001860 BTC (~-58%). LINK was a net LOSER vs BTC over the window, contradicting the claim. BTC USD figures cross-check with StatMuse ($9,332.34 on 2020-06-20; $28,167.30 on 2023-06-20); minor exchange-to-exchange variance does not change the direction — LINK/BTC roughly more than halved regardless of source.

Sources

  • Into the Cryptoverse: A year in review

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Coinbase daily close 2020-06-20: LINK $4.17346, BTC $9,355.74 → LINK/BTC ≈ 0.0004461 BTC (claim-date baseline).

    Evidence

  • Coinbase daily close 2023-06-20 (horizon): LINK $5.268, BTC $28,320.43 → LINK/BTC ≈ 0.0001860 BTC — a ~58% decline in the ratio over the 3-year window.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • Date: Verbatim was aired in fyIyozYmoHg (upload_date 2020-06-23), not JI7-s6YYRCM (2020-06-20), which does not contain the quote.
  • horizon deadline: 'next three years' anchored from corrected made_on 2020-06-23.
  • tags: LINK/BTC relative-value is a cryptocurrency claim -> 'crypto', not 'markets'.

Score contribution

+0.31
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+0.31

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Over the next three years, Chainlink (LINK) will be a net w…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-06-23

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