Prediction record
MisscryptoThe Bitcoin bull-market cycle peak (blow-off top) occurs in 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“the next cycle isn't peaking until say 2023 um maybe even 2024 i tend to think 2023 is the most likely timeframe”
The Bitcoin bull-market cycle peak (blow-off top) occurs in 2023
- Made on
- 2020-07-09
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
The all-time-high / cycle peak of the Bitcoin cycle beginning ~2020 occurs during calendar year 2023
Fully evaluable: the 2023 window has closed. The ~2020-cycle blow-off top was 2021-11-10 (~$69k), and 2023's high (~$44.7k) never approached ATH, so the predicted 2023 cycle peak did not occur. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: The master of volatility
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The all-time-high / cycle peak of the Bitcoin cycle that began ~2020 occurred on 2020-11-10 at ~$68,789–$69,000, followed by a full bear market to ~$16k in Nov 2022. The peak was in 2021, not 2023.
Bitcoin's highest price during calendar-year 2023 was ~$44,705 (December 2023), far below the ~$69k ATH; BTC did not make a new cycle peak/blow-off top in 2023. The next new ATH came only in March 2024.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto-vs-markets rule: a Bitcoin price/cycle bet takes 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The Bitcoin bull-market cycle peak (blow-off top) occurs in…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources