Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin goes parabolic (a major sustained rally) throughout 2022 and 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“and then going parabolic throughout 2022 and 2023”
Bitcoin goes parabolic (a major sustained rally) throughout 2022 and 2023
- Made on
- 2020-07-18
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.33
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin sustains a major parabolic advance (substantial multi-fold rise / new all-time highs) across 2022–2023
Criterion (a sustained major parabolic advance / new all-time highs across 2022–2023) not met. Across the two-year window BTC net declined (from ~$47k at 2022-01-01 to ~$42k at 2023-12-31) with no new ATH — the opposite of a parabolic rise. The 2023 recovery off the ~$16k bottom is a bounce within a range still well below the 2021 peak, not the predicted parabolic move.
Sources
Bitcoin: The preamble to the bull market
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's ATH remained ~$68,789 (Nov 2021). No new all-time high was set at any point in 2022 or 2023; the next ATH did not occur until March 2024.
2022 was a severe bear market (BTC fell to ~$16k after the Nov 2022 FTX collapse); 2023 was a partial recovery to roughly $42k by year-end — a rebound, not a sustained multi-fold parabolic advance.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price/trend bet: crypto primary, markets secondary.
Score contribution
-1.33- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.33
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin goes parabolic (a major sustained rally) throughout…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources