Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin breaks above $12,000 within roughly 12 months (by ~August 2021).

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

Don't be surprised if you see bitcoin breaking through 12k soon.

Bitcoin breaks above $12,000 within roughly 12 months (by ~August 2021).

Made on
2020-08-14
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+1.79

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-11-18

Bitcoin trades at or above $12,000 at any point by 2021-08-14.

Criterion (BTC >= $12,000 at any point by 2021-08-14) met with large margin. BTC in fact first pushed past $12k as early as Oct 2020; resolved_on conservatively set to the unambiguously-documented 2020-11-18 $18k crossing. Prediction made 2020-08-14 with a ~12-month window; threshold cleared within ~3 months.

Sources

  • Ethereum: The summer bubble we dreamed of?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin traded above $18,000 on 2020-11-18 (first time since Dec 2017), far exceeding the $12,000 threshold and well within the 2021-08-14 deadline.

    Evidence

  • Corroboration: BTC closed November 2020 at ~$19,626, up 42% for the month, and rallied to ~$64,000 by April 2021 — all above $12,000.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price-breakout claim maps most centrally to the 'crypto' domain; aligns with the pundit's own crypto-tagged BTC record for consistent per-tag scoring.

Score contribution

+1.79
Confidence
55%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+1.79

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin breaks above $12,000 within roughly 12 months (by ~…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-08-14

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Evidence firstMethodology