Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin reaches a sustainable price at or above $20,000 by late 2021 / early 2022 (Q4 2021 or Q1 2022), moving up ~$600/month over ~14–18 months.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“we're probably going to get to a sustainable 20k by the fourth quarter of 2021 or the first quarter of 2022”
Bitcoin reaches a sustainable price at or above $20,000 by late 2021 / early 2022 (Q4 2021 or Q1 2022), moving up ~$600/month over ~14–18 months.
- Made on
- 2020-08-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-12-16
BTC trades at or above $20,000 on a sustained basis (holds above $20k, e.g. multiple weeks, rather than a brief wick) at some point on or before 2022-03-31.
Criterion (BTC trades at/above $20k on a sustained, multi-week basis on or before 2022-03-31) is clearly satisfied — in fact achieved sustainably a full year ahead of the predicted late-2021/early-2022 timing. The 'holds above $20k' bar is met: BTC never re-broke below $20k after 2020-12-16 within the window.
Sources
Bitcoin price: The bull, the bear, the tortoise, and the hare
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin broke above $20,000 for the first time ever on 2020-12-16 and did not merely wick — it closed 2020 near $29,000 ($28,886 high on 2020-12-30) and remained sustainably above $20,000 continuously thereafter through all of 2021 and Q1 2022 (2021 lows ~$29k in July 2021; Q1 2022 range ~$34k-$48k). It held well above $20k for the entire remainder of the window ending 2022-03-31.
CoinDesk 2020 year-end review confirms BTC's high of ~$28,886 on 2020-12-30 and close of ~$29,001 on 2020-12-31, establishing a sustained position well above $20k months before the Q4-2021/Q1-2022 target and the 2022-03-31 deadline.
Corrections
- tags: A cryptocurrency price call takes 'crypto' as primary; a pure crypto price bet also carries 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches a sustainable price at or above $20,000 by…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-08-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources