Prediction record
HitcryptoEthereum reaches approximately $650 in the short term if it moves up to the next logarithmic regression band.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“we're talking about you know an approximate 650 dollar ether uh if we were to to traverse our way up to the next regression band”
Ethereum reaches approximately $650 in the short term if it moves up to the next logarithmic regression band.
- Made on
- 2020-08-26
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-12-16
ETH reaches ~$650 in the short term (by ~2021-08-26), given it moves up one logarithmic regression band.
resolved_on ~2020-12-16 is approximate (source granularity is monthly around the exact crossing: Nov 30 close $613.80, Dec close $737.11, so first >$650 close falls in mid-December 2020). ETH subsequently went to ~$4,380 (May 2021), so the ~$650 level was decisively exceeded before the deadline regardless of the exact crossing day. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Ethereum logarithmic regression
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH rallied hard in Nov–Dec 2020 (from ~$387 first week of Nov toward the $600s), closing Nov 30, 2020 at ~$613.80 and closing December 2020 at ~$737.11 — meaning ETH first closed above the ~$650 threshold in mid-December 2020, well within the 'short term' window and far before the ~2021-08-26 deadline.
Contemporaneous reporting confirms ETH broke $600 for the first time in ~2 years in late November 2020 (ETH2 deposit-contract anticipation) and continued higher into the $650+ region as the rally extended.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto (ETH) price target: crypto primary + markets secondary.
- conditional condition met: ETH rising past ~$650 necessarily entailed moving up to the next regression band; the condition occurred, so the record scores on the consequent.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum reaches approximately $650 in the short term if it…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-08-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources