Prediction record

Hitcrypto

The ETH/BTC ratio continues rising over the following several months (Ethereum keeps outperforming Bitcoin).

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

ethereum bitcoin ratio is probably going to continue to move up over over the next few months

The ETH/BTC ratio continues rising over the following several months (Ethereum keeps outperforming Bitcoin).

Made on
2020-08-23
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-05-15

The ETH/BTC exchange ratio is higher at some point within ~12 months of 2020-08-23 than its 2020-08-23 level.

Criterion (ratio higher at some point within ~12 months than the 2020-08-23 level) is clearly satisfied: the ratio exceeded its make-date level for much of the window and roughly doubled to ~0.08 by May 2021. resolved_on set to the ~May-2021 peak, though the criterion was already met earlier in the window.

Sources

  • Ethereum keeps an eye on Bitcoin

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • On 2020-08-23 the ETH/BTC ratio stood at roughly 0.034-0.038 (ETH ~$390-410, BTC ~$11,600). Over the following ~12 months ETH strongly outperformed BTC: the ratio rose through the 0.04s in late 2020, and during the DeFi/NFT-driven 2021 cycle peaked at roughly 0.08-0.082 in mid-May 2021 — well above (roughly double) the 2020-08-23 level and comfortably within the ~12-month window ending 2021-08-23.

    Evidence

  • CoinGecko research on ETH/BTC ratio history confirms the ratio's rise into the 2021 cycle, peaking near 0.08 as DeFi and NFT activity drove Ethereum outperformance.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: ETH/BTC ratio is a cryptocurrency call; dictionary requires crypto primary with markets secondary.

Score contribution

+1.84
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

The ETH/BTC ratio continues rising over the following sever…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-08-23

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Evidence firstMethodology