Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin reclaims a sustainable $20,000 (its prior all-time high) by around the end of 2021 / beginning of 2022.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

bitcoin should be getting to a sustainable 20k in approximately the next 16 months or so

Bitcoin reclaims a sustainable $20,000 (its prior all-time high) by around the end of 2021 / beginning of 2022.

Made on
2020-09-27
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-03-31

Bitcoin trades at or above $20,000 on a sustained basis (not merely an intraday wick) by 2022-03-31.

MET. BTC held sustainably above $20k continuously from mid-Dec 2020 through the 2022-03-31 deadline (it did not revisit $20k until the Jun 2022 breakdown, after the deadline). resolved_on set to the criterion window close; sustained condition was in fact met from early 2021.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Will the 20 week MA hold for the 4th week in a row?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin first crossed $20,000 on 2020-12-16 and never traded below $20,000 again during the window — it climbed to ~$40k by early Jan 2021, made a $68,982 all-time high on 2020-11-10 [sic Nov 2021], and was still ~$45,000 at the 2022-03-31 deadline. Criterion (sustained ≥$20k, not an intraday wick, by 2022-03-31) is clearly satisfied.

    Evidence

  • Nov 10, 2021 all-time high of $68,982.20 confirms BTC traded far above $20k on a sustained basis throughout the window.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin-specific claim; 'crypto' is the most-central controlled tag, 'markets' dilutes per-tag sub-scores.

Score contribution

+2.76
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin reclaims a sustainable $20,000 (its prior all-time…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-09-27

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Evidence firstMethodology