Prediction record

Missmarkets

Bitcoin remains within the ~$10,900–$12,100 price range for the next one to two weeks.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Missmarkets

we're gonna stay between ten nine and a little over twelve thousand you know maybe twelve one or so somewhere in that in that in that price range um for the next week or two

Bitcoin remains within the ~$10,900–$12,100 price range for the next one to two weeks.

Made on
2020-09-02
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.89

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-09-16

Bitcoin trades within roughly $10,900–$12,100 (no sustained break outside that band) through ~2020-09-16.

The band was $10,900–$12,100. Price broke below $10,900 (to ~$10,455) on 2020-09-03/04, a sustained move outside the band well within the ~two-week window ending ~2020-09-16, so the 'stays within the band' condition was not met.

Sources

  • Bitcoin price still range-bound

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Within a day of the 2020-09-02 statement, BTC broke below the lower bound: on 2020-09-03 it fell under $11,000 during the biggest US equity sell-off since June, and dropped as low as ~$10,455 on Bitstamp — below the ~$10,900 floor of the stated band.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

-0.89
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.89

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin remains within the ~$10,900–$12,100 price range for…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-09-02

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Evidence firstMethodology