Prediction record
HitcryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio will be substantially higher within one to two years, making the sub-0.02 levels of early 2020 look like a bargain in hindsight.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“i imagine that in like you know one or two years people are gonna look back and be like wow the ratio was less than .02”
The ETH/BTC ratio will be substantially higher within one to two years, making the sub-0.02 levels of early 2020 look like a bargain in hindsight.
- Made on
- 2020-09-11
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-08
The ETH/BTC ratio rises materially above 0.02 (e.g. >= ~0.03) at some point on or before 2022-09-11.
Criterion (ratio rises materially above 0.02, e.g. >= ~0.03, on or before 2022-09-11) is clearly satisfied. The ratio first exceeded ~0.03 in early 2021 and reached ~0.07 by May 2021; resolved_on is set to the firmly-sourced Dec 8, 2021 cycle peak of 0.087089, but the threshold was crossed materially earlier in the window. No conflicting evidence — exchange data across venues agrees the ratio spent all of 2021 through Sept 2022 well above 0.03.
Sources
Ethereum: Still bullish?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The ETH/BTC ratio peaked at 0.087089 on December 8, 2021 — more than 4x the ~0.02 baseline and well above the ~0.03 threshold — inside the one-to-two-year window (deadline 2022-09-11).
In the run-up to The Merge the ratio climbed to a 2022 high above 0.084 in early September 2022, again far above 0.03 and within the window.
CoinGecko research documenting ETH/BTC ratio history confirms the ratio traded well above 0.05-0.08 through 2021 into 2022, materially above the early-2020 sub-0.02 levels.
Corrections
- tags: Cryptocurrency price/ratio bet: crypto primary, markets secondary per the closed tag dictionary.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio will be substantially higher within one t…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-09-11
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources