Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin rises to approximately $14,000 (the next step-function level).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“i think the next level will be around 14k”
Bitcoin rises to approximately $14,000 (the next step-function level).
- Made on
- 2020-10-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-10-31
Bitcoin trades at approximately $14,000 at some point within the horizon window.
Criterion (BTC trades at ~$14,000 at some point in the window) is cleanly and unambiguously met — the level was hit on 2020-10-31 and far exceeded thereafter. resolved_on set to first touch of the target level.
Sources
Monero breakout against Bitcoin to continue?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin traded up to ~$14,100 on 2020-10-31 (its first touch of $14,000, highest level since Jan 2018), just 22 days after the 2020-10-09 call and well inside the 3-year horizon (deadline 2023-10-09). BTC was ~$10,600 when the prediction was made. It went on to exceed $15,000 in early Nov 2020 and $69,000 by Nov 2021, so the ~$14,000 level was reached and vastly surpassed.
CoinGecko's October 2020 monthly report records a monthly BTC high of $13,778 and notes BTC then breached $15,000 in November 2020 — corroborating that the $14,000 level was crossed at the Oct/Nov 2020 boundary.
Corrections
- tags: Tag Dictionary: a cryptocurrency price bet is primarily 'crypto'; markets carried as secondary to keep the market-timing track continuous.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin rises to approximately $14,000 (the next step-funct…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources