Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin will not reach $100,000 within the next five months (by ~March 2021)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“we're probably not just going to shoot through it and and go to 100k in the next five months”
Bitcoin will not reach $100,000 within the next five months (by ~March 2021)
- Made on
- 2020-10-31
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-03-31
Bitcoin does not trade at or above $100,000 on or before ~2021-03-31
Clear resolution. BTC peaked ~$61.5k in mid-March 2021, ~38% below $100k, and did not reach $100k on or before 2021-03-31. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Bitcoin Bunny Hills
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's highest price on or before ~2021-03-31 was ~$61,556, set on 2021-03-13 (its all-time high at the time; monthly high ~$61,700, March close ~$58,800). It never traded at or above $100,000 by the deadline. Criterion (did NOT reach $100k within five months) is satisfied.
Corroboration that BTC first crossed $60k on 2021-03-13 (~$61k high), well short of $100k in the window.
Corrections
- horizon type: The pundit explicitly stated the duration 'five months'; a stated horizon is 'explicit', not table-inferred. Deadline value (2021-03-31) unchanged and correct.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will not reach $100,000 within the next five months…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources