Prediction record
Misscrypto2021 will be an accumulation/range year for the crypto market cycle rather than a full bull-market top
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“2019, 2020, and I even think so 2021 will be the accumulation years of this market cycle.”
2021 will be an accumulation/range year for the crypto market cycle rather than a full bull-market top
- Made on
- 2020-10-15
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.62
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Calendar year 2021 resolves as an accumulation/range phase (no full bull-market cycle top) for crypto.
Resolved: 2021 delivered the full cycle bull-market top (Nov-2021 $69k ATH), directly contradicting the accumulation/range prediction. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull, Bear, and Accumulation Years
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
2021 was NOT an accumulation/range year — it was a full bull-market top year with a two-peak structure: BTC peaked ~$64k in April 2021, pulled back ~55%, then made a new all-time high of ~$69,000 on November 10, 2021.
Analysts characterize 2021 as forming a bull-market top (~$69k Nov 2021), the cycle high that stood for over two years — the opposite of an accumulation/range phase.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto cycle-phase claim is primarily 'crypto'; markets kept as secondary.
Score contribution
+0.62- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.62
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
2021 will be an accumulation/range year for the crypto mark…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources