Prediction record
HitmarketsEthereum (ETH) rallies against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC ratio rises) over the coming weeks, by end of February 2021, given Bitcoin maintains its bullish posture.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“if it doesn't happen and bitcoin can maintain this bullish level whether it goes sideways has a slow bleed over the next month or two i think there's a good chance that we'll see a breakout of ethereum against bitcoin”
Ethereum (ETH) rallies against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC ratio rises) over the coming weeks, by end of February 2021, given Bitcoin maintains its bullish posture.
- Made on
- 2020-12-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-01-04
The ETH/BTC exchange rate rises >=10% above its 2020-12-15 level at some point on or before 2021-02-28.
Criterion (ETH/BTC >= +10% above 2020-12-15 level at some point on/before 2021-02-28) satisfied with margin; peaked at +52.6%. Note: ETH/BTC first DIPPED in late Dec 2020 (BTC led early) before the Jan-Feb ETH outperformance, but the threshold was still cleared by 2021-01-04. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
A deep dive into the Ethereum valuation against Bitcoin with BTC price overlaid
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH/BTC (Coinbase ETH-BTC daily candles) closed at 0.0303 on 2020-12-15. The +10% threshold (0.03333) was first exceeded intraday on 2021-01-04 (high 0.03546). ETH/BTC then peaked at 0.04624 on 2021-02-05, i.e. +52.6% above the 2020-12-15 base — well beyond +10% and inside the 2021-02-28 deadline.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: BTC maintained a bullish posture and never dropped below the 20-week MA through the window — the stated antecedent objectively held.
- horizon deadline: Strict +2 months from the 2020-12-15 utterance for 'next month or two'; immaterial to resolution (threshold crossed 2021-01-04).
Score contribution
+1.51- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum (ETH) rallies against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC ratio rises…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-12-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources