Prediction record
75% outcomecryptoBitcoin reaches approximately $80,000 by November 2021.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
75% outcomecrypto“the lower bound on it by november of 2021 would probably be closing in on 80k and the upper bound by the end of 2021 would be closing in on probably over a hundred k”
Bitcoin reaches approximately $80,000 by November 2021.
- Made on
- 2021-01-14
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.98
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-11-30
Bitcoin trades at or near $80,000 at some point on or before 2021-11-30.
Criterion ('at or near $80,000 on or before 2021-11-30') not met — cycle high ~$68,990 falls ~13% short of and is not 'near' $80k. Resolved on the deadline date. No conflicting evidence. Outcome value o deferred to Stage-2 scoring.
Sources
Bitcoin price back at $40k!
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's 2021 cycle peak was an all-time high of ~$68,990 (≈$68,982) on 2021-11-10; it never traded at or near $80,000 at any point in November 2021 or before the 2021-11-30 deadline.
Independent confirmation that the ~$69k Nov 10 2021 high stood as Bitcoin's all-time high until March 2024, i.e. $80k was not reached in 2021.
Corrections
- tags: Tag dictionary v1.0.0: a crypto price/level call takes crypto as primary, markets as secondary.
Score contribution
+2.98- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.98
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches approximately $80,000 by November 2021.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources