Prediction record
HitcryptoIf Bitcoin stabilizes, ADA/USD rallies to ~$1.38-$1.40 and enters price discovery (new all-time highs).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“If bitcoin stabilizes here like hopefully it will, and if it does then i think ada is going to probably push towards a buck 40 a buck 38 or so and go into price discovery mode.”
If Bitcoin stabilizes, ADA/USD rallies to ~$1.38-$1.40 and enters price discovery (new all-time highs).
- Made on
- 2021-02-25
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-09-02
Given BTC stabilizes, ADA/USD reaches ~$1.38-$1.40 and exceeds its prior all-time high (new ATH) in the near term.
Both the conditional trigger (BTC stabilized/rallied) and the consequent (ADA new ATH above ~$1.38–$1.40) occurred within the deadline window (by Sept 2021, ahead of the 2022-02-25 deadline). Criterion met; outcome value to be assigned by a later stage.
Sources
Cardano: Dubious Short-Term Price Predictions
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The conditional (if BTC stabilizes → ADA reaches ~$1.38–$1.40 and enters price discovery / new ATH) both antecedent and consequent held: BTC rallied through 2021 to ~$69k (Nov 2021), and ADA exceeded its prior ~$1.33–$1.38 ATH, making a new all-time high of $2.465 in May 2021 and $3.10 on 2021-09-02 — clear price discovery — all within the 2022-02-25 window.
ADA hit a then-new all-time high of $2.465 in May 2021 before advancing to $3.101 on Sept 2, 2021, confirming new all-time highs (price discovery) well above the ~$1.38–$1.40 target.
Corrections
- tags: Pure crypto price bet: crypto primary + markets secondary per the crypto-vs-markets rule. Load-bearing since this is the session's scoreable record (drives per-tag sub-scores).
- conditional condition met: Resolution establishes the antecedent held (BTC did not crash further and rallied through 2021), so the conditional resolves on the consequent.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
If Bitcoin stabilizes, ADA/USD rallies to ~$1.38-$1.40 and…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-02-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources