Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin breaks above its prior all-time high (~$42,000) and continues higher.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“there's a good chance it can break 42k and continue higher but if it doesn't then this would be the downside”
Bitcoin breaks above its prior all-time high (~$42,000) and continues higher.
- Made on
- 2021-02-04
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-02-08
BTC trades above $42,000 at any point within the window.
Criterion ('BTC trades above $42,000 at any point within window ending 2024-02-04') met unambiguously and early. First crossing above $42k after made_on (2021-02-04) was Feb 8, 2021; BTC subsequently ran to ~$69k. No conflicting evidence. No outcome value assigned per stage separation.
Sources
Bitcoin: Cautiously Optimistic
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Four days after the prediction, BTC surged to a new all-time high of $44,868.98 (then $46,081 / intraday ~$47,458) on Feb 8, 2021 following Tesla's $1.5B disclosure — first move decisively above the ~$42,000 prior ATH.
BTC continued far higher within the window, reaching $68,789 on Nov 10, 2021 — vastly exceeding the $42,000 threshold ('and continues higher').
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin breaks above its prior all-time high (~$42,000) and…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-02-04
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources