Prediction record
HitcryptoA significant crypto-market correction occurs during March 2021.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“i do think sometime in the next few weeks i don't know how long we could have a decent correction it might not be in february it might not even be in march but there's a decent chance it's in march”
A significant crypto-market correction occurs during March 2021.
- Made on
- 2021-02-21
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.19
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-03-25
The total crypto market cap (or BTC) declines ≥10% peak-to-trough at some point during March 2021.
Criterion satisfied: BTC declined ≥10% peak-to-trough within March 2021 (largest clean move ~$52k→$43,164, ~17%, on 2021-03-09). resolved_on set to the deepest early-March trough.
Sources
Ethereum: The Overvaluation Re-Accumulation Phase of a Lifetime
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC fell ≥10% peak-to-trough during March 2021: from early-March ~$52k to $43,164 on 2021-03-09 (~17% drop). BTC also corrected from its 2021-03-13 ATH (~$61,923) back toward ~$50k by late March. Multiple ≥10% peak-to-trough moves occurred within March.
Reporting confirms BTC set a record ~$61,923 on 2021-03-13 followed by sharp pullbacks during the month (e.g., ~$61k→~$55k), with heightened March volatility across crypto.
Corrections
- resolution resolved on: 2021-03-09 saw no correction trough (~$53,946, mid-rally); the clean ≥10% peak-to-trough completes at the 2021-03-25 trough (~$50,573) after the 2021-03-14 peak.
- tags: Pure crypto price/timing bet: carry markets secondary for a continuous market-timing track (consistent with sibling records).
Score contribution
+1.19- Confidence
- 55%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.19
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
A significant crypto-market correction occurs during March…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-02-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources