Prediction record
HitcryptoFebruary 2021 is not the cryptocurrency market-cycle top; prices will make new highs later this cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“i do not think we're at a market cycle top right now”
February 2021 is not the cryptocurrency market-cycle top; prices will make new highs later this cycle
- Made on
- 2021-02-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-11-10
Total crypto market cap exceeds its February 2021 level at some later point on or before 2021-12-31 (i.e. Feb 2021 was not the cycle top).
Criterion (total crypto market cap exceeds its February 2021 level at some later point on or before 2021-12-31) is satisfied by a wide margin: the market roughly doubled from ~$1.4T (Feb 2021) to a ~$3T ATH in Nov 2021. resolved_on set to 2021-11-10, the widely reported first breach of the $3T all-time high.
Sources
Ethereum: A euphoric showstopper
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization surpassed $3 trillion for the first time ever around November 8-10, 2021, far above the ~$1.4 trillion level of February 2021 — proving February 2021 was not the cycle top and that prices made substantial new highs later in the same 2021 cycle.
CoinMarketCap historical snapshot for late November 2021 corroborates the total market cap near its ~$3T all-time high, well above February 2021 levels.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto market cycle claim; 'crypto' is the central primary tag.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
February 2021 is not the cryptocurrency market-cycle top; p…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-02-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources