Prediction record
50% outcomemarketsBitcoin's cycle peak reaches $100,000-$200,000 during the 2021 market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomemarkets“I think bitcoin will go to between 100 to 200 000 this market cycle. That's generally my thinking.”
Bitcoin's cycle peak reaches $100,000-$200,000 during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-03
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin's price reaches at least $100,000 (into the $100k-$200k range) at some point on or before 2021-12-31.
Not met. The 2021 cycle peak (~$69k, Nov 10 2021) fell short of the $100k-$200k range; BTC did not cross $100k until Dec 2024, well outside this record's deadline.
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Reconciling Two Models
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's highest price in the entire 2021 cycle was ~$68,982 on 2021-11-10 (nominal Coinbase print ~$69,225) — the cycle peak. It never reached $100,000 at any point on or before 2021-12-31.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's cycle peak reaches $100,000-$200,000 during the 2…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources