Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin remains the #1 cryptocurrency by market cap and is not flipped by Ethereum or any other asset during the 2021 market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“Bitcoin will stand the test of time and it will not be flipped this market cycle. In my opinion it will not be flipped by anything this market cycle or for the foreseeable future.”
Bitcoin remains the #1 cryptocurrency by market cap and is not flipped by Ethereum or any other asset during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
No cryptocurrency surpasses Bitcoin in total market capitalization at any point on or before 2021-12-31.
This is a 'no-event-through-deadline' criterion (no asset surpasses BTC market cap on or before 2021-12-31). No flippening occurred at any point in 2021, so the criterion held; resolved_on set to the deadline (2021-12-31) when the no-event window closed. Consistent across all credible sources; no conflicting evidence.
Sources
Ethereum: A Realistic Price Prediction for this Market Cycle
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Despite Bitcoin dominance falling to the ~40-55% range during the 2021 DeFi/altcoin boom, Bitcoin was never flipped: no cryptocurrency (including Ethereum) surpassed BTC in total market capitalization at any point in 2021. The 'flippening' narrative was quashed throughout the year.
Contemporary coverage confirms Bitcoin maintained its position as the largest cryptocurrency by market cap throughout 2021; the closest ETH ever came to a flippening was 2017 (~7% gap), not 2021.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-dominance/flippening claim is a crypto-domain prediction; 'crypto' more central and matches sibling records. Optional refinement (both valid).
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin remains the #1 cryptocurrency by market cap and is…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources