Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin is not down 90% or more from its ~$57,000 March 2021 level four years later (i.e., BTC remains above ~$5,700)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“i think there's a decent chance that bitcoin is doing better than a 90 drop in four years from now”
Bitcoin is not down 90% or more from its ~$57,000 March 2021 level four years later (i.e., BTC remains above ~$5,700)
- Made on
- 2021-03-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-03-15
As of ~March 2025, Bitcoin's price is above approximately $5,700 (not down 90%+ from ~$57,000)
Criterion (BTC above ~$5,700 as of ~March 2025) clearly satisfied; BTC was ~$80k+, more than an order of magnitude above the threshold.
Sources
Bitcoin: My Concern for New Investors
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
In March 2025 Bitcoin traded in the ~$80,000s (month-end close $82,548.91 on 2025-03-31), roughly 14x above the ~$5,700 floor (a 90% drop from ~$57,000). BTC was never remotely near a 90% drawdown as of ~March 2025.
Corrections
- tags: A BTC price call is crypto-primary per the dictionary crypto-vs-markets rule; primary crypto tag was missing.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin is not down 90% or more from its ~$57,000 March 202…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources