Prediction record
75% outcomecryptoBitcoin's short-term peak reaches approximately $70,000-$73,000
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
75% outcomecrypto“The projected short-term peak based on that trend line would actually correspond to approximately 72 to 73,000.”
Bitcoin's short-term peak reaches approximately $70,000-$73,000
- Made on
- 2021-03-14
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.94
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-03-14
Bitcoin's price reaches at least $70,000 within roughly 12 months of the statement
Criterion (>=$70,000 within ~12 months) was NOT met — BTC came within ~$1,000 (~1.5%) but did not print $70k on any major exchange in the window. Note: the claim's stated target ($70k-$73k) was directionally very close to the realized ~$69k peak, though the >=$70k threshold itself was not crossed.
Sources
Bitcoin: Can the Extension from the 20W MA help Identify Local Tops?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's highest print within the 12-month window (made 2021-03-14 → deadline 2022-03-14) was the 2021-11-10 all-time high of ~$68,990 (Coinbase ~$69,000; exchange highs ranged ~$68,900-$69,200). BTC never reached $70,000 in this window — it first exceeded $70k only in March 2024.
Forbes: ATH close to $69,000 on 2021-11-10; peak generally cited $68,789-$69,200 across exchanges.
Corrections
- tags: BTC price call; crypto primary, markets secondary.
Score contribution
+2.94- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.94
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's short-term peak reaches approximately $70,000-$73…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources