Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoBitcoin (BTC) will reach at least $100,000 (six figures).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“bitcoin will trend two six figures and you know well into the six figures”
Bitcoin (BTC) will reach at least $100,000 (six figures).
- Made on
- 2021-03-18
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-03-18
BTC/USD trades at or above $100,000 at any point within the window.
Criterion 'BTC/USD trades at or above $100,000 at any point within the window' evaluable and window-closed. In-window peak ~$73,750 (Mar 2024); the $100k level was not touched until Dec 2024, outside the window. Resolved as of the deadline; outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: Battle for the Upper Regression Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Within the 2021-03-18 → 2024-03-18 window, BTC's highest price was a new all-time high of ~$73,750 on 2024-03-14 (pre-halving ETF-driven run). It did not reach $100,000 at any point inside the window.
BTC first reached $100,000 on 2024-12-04/05 — roughly nine months AFTER the 2024-03-18 deadline, so it falls outside the horizon window.
Corrections
- tags: BTC price bet: crypto primary + markets secondary per dictionary.
Score contribution
+0.84- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin (BTC) will reach at least $100,000 (six figures).- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources