Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoTotal cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion within a few years
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“i do think the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization over the next few years will likely trend to approximately 10 trillion dollars plus or minus a few trillion”
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion within a few years
- Made on
- 2021-03-16
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.18
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-03-16
Total crypto market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion at some point within ~3 years (by ~2024)
Criterion (~$10T by ~2024) was NOT met by any margin; realized peak within the window was ~$3T. Unambiguous.
Sources
Cardano Rallies on Coinbase Pro Listing
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Total crypto market cap first hit ~$3 trillion in early November 2021 (Fortune, 2021-11-09) — its all-time high for the period. It never approached $10 trillion by the ~2024 deadline.
CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko total-market-cap history shows the Nov-2021 peak near $2.9-3.0T; through the 2024 window the total remained in the ~$1.5-2.9T range, roughly 3-3.5x below $10T.
Corrections
- tags: Dictionary crypto-vs-markets rule: a total-crypto-market-cap call is crypto-primary with markets secondary; primary crypto tag was missing.
Score contribution
+1.18- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.18
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approxim…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources