Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2021

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

โ€œit's most likely not going to happenโ€

Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2021

Made on
2021-04-19
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-12-31

Bitcoin does not trade at or above $300,000 at any point on or before 2021-12-31

2021 max (~$69k) is roughly 4.3x below the $300k threshold; unambiguous. Outcome value NOT assigned.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Rejected by the Peak Logarithmic Regression Band (Again!)

    YouTube ยท

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's 2021 high was ~$68,982โ€“$69,225 on 2021-11-10; it never approached $300,000 at any point on or before 2021-12-31. Criterion (BTC does not trade at/above $300k by year-end 2021) is satisfied by the price record.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Pure BTC price bet; crypto primary, markets secondary.

Score contribution

+2.76
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2021
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2021-04-19

How this profile was built

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Evidence firstMethodology