Prediction record
HitcryptoCrypto markets will have several non-bullish months during 2021.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“there's probably going to be several months in 2021 where where things are not bullish”
Crypto markets will have several non-bullish months during 2021.
- Made on
- 2021-04-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Crypto markets have several months during 2021 that are net non-bullish (flat or down).
Criterion 'several months during 2021 that are net non-bullish (flat or down)' is satisfied: 2021 had a sharp mid-year drawdown (May–July) and further red months in the autumn on a monthly-return basis. Exact per-month % should be pulled from a monthly-returns heatmap (bitbo/coinglass) if precise figures are needed for scoring.
Sources
Bitcoin Non-Emergency Video!
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The May 2021 crypto crash wiped ~$1T off the market; BTC fell ~35–50% in May 2021 (China mining ban, Musk/Tesla reversal), a decisively non-bullish month.
Bitcoin monthly returns show multiple net-down/flat months across 2021 (notably May, plus weakness in June and additional red months in the autumn) — several non-bullish months, not a straight-up year.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto-market claim → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Crypto markets will have several non-bullish months during…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-04-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources