Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin forms a death cross (daily 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA) by 2021-06-27
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“we will in fact have a death cross within the next month”
Bitcoin forms a death cross (daily 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA) by 2021-06-27
- Made on
- 2021-05-27
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-06-21
Bitcoin's daily 50-day SMA crosses below its 200-day SMA on or before 2021-06-27
Criterion met: the daily 50-day SMA crossed below the 200-day SMA on 2021-06-21, six days before the 2021-06-27 deadline. Minor source variance (June 19 vs June 21) exists but both dates fall inside the window, so the crossing-by-deadline fact is unambiguous.
Sources
Bitcoin: A *Potential* Death Cross Coming (Not Certain Yet)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Antecedent ('BTC fails to rally back to $50k-$60k and resume upward momentum') objectively occurred — BTC bottomed ~$29-30k in June 2021 and never reached the band — so the prediction is live and scored. A resolved conditional cannot leave condition_met null.
- tags: Bitcoin moving-average death-cross is a crypto price/technical call; dictionary requires 'crypto' primary with 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+1.91- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin forms a death cross (daily 50-day MA crosses below…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-27
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources