Prediction record
50% outcomemarketsBitcoin will reach six figures ($100,000+) during the current market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomemarkets“between 20 to 40k i feel like is is a huge opportunity on bitcoin in preparation for an inevitable move to a hundred thousand dollars at some point later this market cycle which does not necessarily have to have a top in 2021”
Bitcoin will reach six figures ($100,000+) during the current market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-05-17
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.23
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-03-31
Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 at any point on or before 2024-03-31
Criterion is a $100k touch on or before 2024-03-31. Window closed with BTC's peak (~$73.8k) well short of $100k, so the criterion was not met within the horizon. BTC did eventually reach six figures in Dec 2024, but that is outside the stated window and does not satisfy the record as written.
Sources
Bitcoin: Worst Case Scenario (Short-Term Relief Rally?)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's cycle high before the 2024-03-31 deadline was ~$73,750 in mid-March 2024; it closed March 2024 at $71,333.65. It did NOT trade at or above $100,000 at any point on or before 2024-03-31.
Bitcoin first crossed $100,000 on 2024-12-04 (reaching ~$103,679 on Dec 5) — over eight months AFTER this record's deadline, so it falls outside the horizon window.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.23- Confidence
- 97%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.23
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will reach six figures ($100,000+) during the curre…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources