Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin does not reach $100,000 by end of 2022
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“i would also argue that going to 100k in 2022 at this point while it certainly could happen later this year um i don't think of it as the as the most likely scenario”
Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 by end of 2022
- Made on
- 2022-02-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-12-31
Bitcoin fails to reach $100,000 at any point on or before 2022-12-31.
Criterion (BTC fails to reach $100,000 on or before 2022-12-31) is satisfied — BTC's 2022 peak (~$48k) was far below $100k. resolved_on set to window close 2022-12-31. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: A Date With Destiny
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin never reached $100,000 in 2022. Its 2022 high was roughly $48,000 (late March 2022); it fell through the year to a ~$15,480 low on Nov 22, 2022 and closed 2022 near $16,500 — never near $100k.
Bitcoin's first-ever move above $100,000 occurred in December 2024, confirming $100k was not reached at any point on or before 2022-12-31.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 by end of 2022- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-02-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources