Prediction record

Hitmarkets

Bitcoin will not make a new all-time high in Q2 2022.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Hitmarkets

i don't think we're going to see new all-time highs in q2

Bitcoin will not make a new all-time high in Q2 2022.

Made on
2022-04-15
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-06-30

Bitcoin's USD price does not exceed its prior all-time high (~$69,000) at any point on or before 2022-06-30.

Unambiguous. BTC fell heavily during Q2 2022 (Terra/Luna collapse in May, Celsius freeze in June) and came nowhere near $69k. The 2022 yearly high preceded Q2. Criterion (no new ATH) satisfied.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: At A Crossroads

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's prior all-time high was ~$69,000 (Nov 2021). Throughout Q2 2022 (Apr 1 – Jun 30) BTC declined sharply and never approached that level: April closed near $37,700, and by mid-June it had fallen to the high-teens/low-$20,000s (yearly low of ~$15,700 came in November). The 2022 intra-year high (~$47,300 on Mar 29, 2022) occurred BEFORE Q2 began, so no new ATH was made during Q2. Prediction criterion (no new ATH above ~$69k on or before 2022-06-30) held.

    Evidence

  • Historical daily data confirms Bitcoin traded well below its ~$69,000 ATH for the entire April–June 2022 window, with a steadily declining trend and no new record high.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.51
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will not make a new all-time high in Q2 2022.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2022-04-15

How this profile was built

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Evidence firstMethodology