Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance rises above 50% (potentially to 60–70%) of total crypto market cap
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“bitcoin will make up more than 50 of that market capitalization i would not be surprised to see bitcoin go to 60 or maybe even 65 to 70 percent of the entire asset class”
Bitcoin dominance rises above 50% (potentially to 60–70%) of total crypto market cap
- Made on
- 2022-05-12
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-04-07
Bitcoin dominance (BTC share of total crypto market cap) rises above 50% within the window.
Criterion (dominance rises above 50% within 2022-05-12→2025-05-12) satisfied; it was durably above 50% through 2024 (avg 51.9%) and hit 60.5% on 2025-04-07, before the deadline. Exact first-crossing date is method-dependent (whether stablecoins are included), but the >50% condition is unambiguously met. resolved_on set to the conservatively-confirmed 60.5% date; the 60-70% aspirational range was also reached (60.5%).
Sources
Where Is The Crypto Bottom? (Worst Case Scenario)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin dominance rose from ~46-47% at claim time (May 2022) to an annual average of 51.9% in 2024 and reached 60.5% on 2025-04-07 (first time above 60% in ~4 years) — decisively above the 50% threshold within the window.
TradingView/CoinMarketCap BTC.D data confirm dominance sustained above 50% through 2024 and into 2025 (mid-to-high 50s%), driven by spot-ETF inflows and post-FTX concentration into BTC.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance rises above 50% (potentially to 60–70%) o…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources