Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will not return to new all-time highs in May or June 2022.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

it's hard for me to envision a scenario where bitcoin is is back at new all-time highs you know in march or april or may or june

Bitcoin will not return to new all-time highs in May or June 2022.

Made on
2022-05-05
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.91

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-06-30

Bitcoin does NOT exceed its ~$69,000 prior ATH at any point through 2022-06-30 (claim true if no new ATH occurs).

Criterion: BTC does not exceed its ~$69k ATH through 2022-06-30. It stayed far below (window high ~$40k, then crashed to ~$17.6k). No new ATH — criterion satisfied.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: A Date With Destiny

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's all-time high (~$69,000, Nov 10 2021) was never approached in May-June 2022; the window's high was ~$40,024 (Binance BTCUSDT, May 4 2022) and BTC then fell sharply after the LUNA/UST collapse.

    Evidence

  • BTC continued lower through June, bottoming near $17,600 on June 18 2022 — far below the prior ATH — so no new all-time high occurred through 2022-06-30.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.91
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.91

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will not return to new all-time highs in May or Jun…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2022-05-05

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Evidence firstMethodology