Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin makes a further lower low, trading below ~$25,000 (i.e. $25k is not the cycle bottom).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“We normally see more than one lower low. So, we've seen one lower low so far this bear market. In the 2018 2014 bear markets, we saw two lower lows. If that's the case, then that means 25K is not the bottom.”
Bitcoin makes a further lower low, trading below ~$25,000 (i.e. $25k is not the cycle bottom).
- Made on
- 2022-06-03
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-11-22
Bitcoin trades below $25,000 at any point within the window.
Criterion (BTC below $25,000 at any point in the 2022-06-03 → 2025-06-03 window) is clearly met. resolved_on set to the unambiguous, well-documented FTX-era low of 2022-11-22 (~$15,480); the $25k level was in fact first breached ~mid-June 2022. (No outcome value assigned.)
Sources
Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 24)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin fell to ~$15,480 on 22 Nov 2022 amid the FTX collapse — its lowest since Nov 2020 and far below the $25,000 threshold.
CoinMarketCap snapshot 2022-11-27 shows BTC at $16,444.63, corroborating sustained sub-$25k trading; BTC first broke below $25k in mid-June 2022 (Celsius-freeze crash) and traded below $25k for much of H2 2022 through early 2023.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price-level bet: 'crypto' primary required, 'markets' secondary for a pure crypto price bet.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin makes a further lower low, trading below ~$25,000 (…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-06-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources