Prediction record
MisscryptoTotal cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I do think we are headed to 10 trillion, right?”
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approximately $10 trillion.
- Made on
- 2022-06-03
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.62
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-06-03
Total crypto market capitalization reaches ~$10 trillion (±a few trillion) at any point within the window.
Criterion (~$10T, ±a few trillion, at any point in window) is NOT met. Window max ≈ $3.9T (Dec 2024), roughly 60% below the $10T target even after applying the ±few-trillion tolerance. Window has fully elapsed, so this is definitively resolved rather than pending. (No outcome value assigned.)
Sources
Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 24)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Total crypto market cap's peak within the window (2022-06-03 → 2025-06-03) was ~$3.9 trillion, set 17 Dec 2024 alongside BTC's $108,135 record; it never approached $10T.
The market's all-time high of ~$4.27 trillion was not reached until 6 Oct 2025 — AFTER the 2025-06-03 deadline — and even that is far short of ~$10T.
Corrections
- tags: Total-crypto market-cap target is a crypto price/level call; dictionary requires 'crypto' primary and 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+0.62- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.62
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches approxim…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-06-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources